Active Stocks
-
DIA - Dow 30
SPY - S&P 500
QQQ - NASDAQ 100
GBTC - Bitcoin
GLD - Gold
AMZN
GOOG
HUBS
META
MSFT
NOW
NVDA
PLTR
QBTS
SNOW
SOUN
TSLA
TSM -
Expectations in 2025?
My expectations for this year will be markets full of volatility, however, by the end of 2025, the markets will be higher from where they ended in 2024. Both 2023 & 2024 were very good to the S&P 500 Index, a third year of 20+ percent gains is unlikely.This growth will continue with Large Cap Tech Stocks leading the way, and all signs are showing they will continue to do so.
I also think money will periodically leave the Tech sector and move to Large Cap Value, stocks that have strong consumer brands and have stumbled throughout 2024.
I do not see Health Care stocks doing well in 2025, with RFK Jr. and President Trump talking about getting rid of the Middle Man in Health Care, and to eliminate Pharmaceutical companies from running ads on TV, this sector will be one of the prime targets for DOGE to eliminate US Govt. costs.
Health Care is an area where reducing costs could help what DOGE is trying to accomplish, reducing Medicare Costs, and getting the US Govt. spending under control.
Reducing Drug Costs for Medicare would be an excellent way to reduce costs while not cutting tens of thousands of jobs in a very short period of time.
If that did end up happening, it certainly would impact the consumer spending numbers and impact the economy, not something the Trump administration is looking to hurt.
In 2025, the volatility will come from Mediocre Economic Data causing markets to rise with anticipation Federal Reserve will keep cutting rates as they did throughout 2024, followed by Mediocre Earnings Announcements with Lowered Forward Guidance by companies, causing the market declines.
When companies announce they are Lowering Future Expectations, that generally means their stock price drops.
Stocks are forward pricing, and Lowering Future Expectations tells investors to reduce expectations for accelerated growth rates enjoyed in the past, which most likely pushed the stock price higher.
My Greatest Concern for 2025
I am watching the 10 year Treasury yield to see if it reaches or exceeds 5%. If that even does happen, the Stock Market could see a healthy decline, as we have seen a couple times in the past two years.
In 2025, there are Trillions of dollars in US Debt needing refinancing, and the new rate will be much higher than in recent years.
These US Debt concerns could weigh heavily on the Stock Market in 2025, however, I am still predicting the Stock market will be higher at the end of 2025 than it was at the end of 2024.
So, WHAT DO I DO YOU ASK, keep investing in Pre-Tax accounts, especially if you are in a 30%-40% Tax Bracket, like 401Ks, Solo 401Ks, SEP & Simple IRAs, sit in Cash / Money Market Funds & collect your 4.25%+ yield, and Very Slowly Buy Stocks Fitting Within Your Risk Profile on market declines.
Negative Markets create Opportunity, although at the time, it seems very uncomfortable to Buy!
If you are looking to Earn Additional Income from your portfolio this year, look into a strategy called "Selling Covered Call Options".
This strategy can be a great source used to create Income from Stocks you already own.
For Stock ideas, Contact Me and I Will Evaluate Your Risk Profile.
- 401K & Solo 401K / IRA / Roth IRA Contribution Limits for 2025
If you are under the age of 50, max contribution is $7,000 & if over 50 it's $8,000 for your IRA & Roth IRA.Your 401K limit is $23,700 if under 50, $31,000 if over 50 years old.
For individual business owners, Solo 401K contributions in 2024 increased to $70,000 or $77,500 if age 50 or over.
Solo 401K contributions are based net- income from Self-Employment (i.e. you can't contribute more than you make).
- How Much Should I Pay my Financial Advisor or Portfolio Manager?
The fees you will pay a Financial Advisor generally depend on how much money you are asking the Advisor to manage & whether part of those investment dollars include your 401K.Try to avoid dealing with Financial Sales People who only want to charge you Commissions or try and Sell you A-share Mutual Funds.
Gaming, Streaming, Online Gambling, Industry Consolidation is Heating Up by James R. Wigen, Sr. Portfolio Manager, Independent Financial Management
-Sony Interactive Entertainment’s deal for video game maker Bungie follows Take-Two’s $12.7 billion agreement to buy Zynga and Microsoft’s $69 billion Activision Blizzard acquisition.
-Bungie is behind the multiplayer shooter games Destiny and Halo, the latter of which it developed until 2010.
-Technology companies are increasingly interested in gaming as they look to expand audiences and prepare for future iterations of virtual- and augmented-reality devices.
Sony Interactive Entertainment has agreed to acquire privately held video game developer Bungie for $3.6 billion, adding to a flurry of industry consolidation this month.
Bungie is the company behind the multiplayer shooter games Destiny and Halo, the latter of which it developed until 2010. Bungie was acquired by Microsoft in 2000 and split from that company in 2007.
All three video game deals were announced in January.
Technology companies are increasingly interested in gaming as they look to expand audiences and prepare for future iterations of virtual- and augmented-reality devices.
Sony shares were up about 4.5% for the day as of 4:30 p.m. ET.
Bungie will continue to operate independently within Sony, according to a statement.
“Bungie has created and continues to evolve some of the world’s most beloved video game franchises and, by aligning its values with people’s desire to share gameplay experiences, they bring together millions of people around the world,” said Kenichiro Yoshida, Sony Group Corp.’s chairman, president and CEO, in a statement.
Sony Interactive Entertainment, which develops PlayStation and is based in San Mateo, Calif., is a subsidiary of Sony Group Corp.
Information provided by Alex Sherman@SHERMAN4949.
My view – All of this consolidation comes after the WarnerMedia rollout to Discovery+, and WynnBet app being put up for sale.
These three sectors have one thing in common, large customer acquisition costs. Whether it’s marketing or content creation, it becomes very expensive to find new customers and keep them engaged. With people changing how and what type of content they want at their fingertips, many companies are having to head back to the boardroom to figure out how they can grow their business in this changing environment.
The answer, streaming shoppable video technology, allows people to get rid of commercials and easily learn about and purchase products they see while consuming content, whether through a tv show, movie, playing games or watching sports. With commercials quickly becoming something people can opt out of, it will be critical for advertising dollars to be implemented into the content people are watching.
Companies will need to reach out to content creators and offer to pay them to integrate their products into the tv show or movie which is being created. This will provide content creators upfront money to help reduce the cost of creating the content, and will benefit consumers who can directly purchase goods which they see on their screens, whether on a phone, ipad, computer or television. It is developing very fast, will be coming very soon, and only a few survivors will be left controlling it all.
My Top Survivors:
Amazon (AMZN)
Discovery+ (through WarnerMedia) (DISCA)
Disney+ / ESPN+ (DIS)
DraftKings (DKNG)
Endeavor Group Holdings (EDR)
Fanduel (parent Flutter Entertainment) (PDYPY)
Fanatics (private)
FuboTV (FUBO)
Meta (old Facebook) (FB)
Microsoft (MSFT)
Netflix (NFLX)
Paramount+ (parent ViacomCBS) (VIAC)
Peacock+ (through NBCUniversal – parent Comcast) (CMCSA)
Sony Group Corporation (SONY)
Tiktok (parent ByteDance) (private)
YouTube (parent Google / Alphabet) (GOOG)
It will take a little time to all come together, however, once it does it will be very tough to compete against these survivors.
James CPM® designation was supplied by Global Academy of Finance and Management or GAFM®
Investing involves serious risks and past performance is no guarantee of future performance or success. This is not an offer to buy or sell securities and nothing contained herein should be interpreted as a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Before making any decision to invest, first read the relevant disclosures and important information provided to you.
Please take the proper risk for your current situation and get the advice from a financial professional who clearly understands your current & future goals and objectives.
Investments are NOT FDIC INSURED * MAY LOSE VALUE * NO BANK GUARANTEE
All opinions expressed by James R. Wigen on this website are solely his opinions and do not reflect the opinions of IFP Advisors, LLC, dba Independent Financial Partners, (IFP). Investment Advice offered through IFP Advisors, LLC, dba Independent Financial Partners (IFP), a Registered Investment Adviser. IFP and Independent Financial Management, LLC (IFM), are separate entities.
Comments
Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.